The Ukraine war is comparable to a civil war and they tend toward being the most vicious sort of conflicts. Especially one with the secessionists sponsored by the rich and led by a picked comedian selected by the rich. The war could continue for decades or until the last Ukrainian soldier dies on the battlefield and no more mercenaries or international forces can be found to continue the battle.

The Ukraine war and sanctions on Russia radically disrupt the global flow of trade and prevent the development of new trade routes. It implicitly stops Arctic ocean developments of trade routes and trans-Eurasian land routes from increasing. There is a great deal of wealth made from existing global trade routes, oceanic and cities involved with the present system that would have a new competitor if the war ends favorably for Russia, sanctions end and peace breaks out. From the European point of view controlling all of Ukraine and bringing it into the E.U. would best perpetuate Europe’s advantaged position in global trade so far as that remains. Russia would be filtered out of being a hub for world trade. The United States would benefit from new trade routes across Russia and on Arctic littoral shipping increases to Alaska.

Russians are generally accomplishing the goal of securing the Donbas, Crimea, Donets, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and other regions East of the Dnipro in spite of the hundreds of billions of dollars of weapons and military intelligence poured in to prop up secessionist forces. England is the most strong supporter of secession continuing the tradition begun perhaps with their support for Southern American rebels after their invasion of 1812 burning the U.S. capital evolved into a fiasco at New Orleans. France is another supporter of rebels agitating to stimulate and continue the war with its tradition of offing the rich with revolts. The problem is the French themselves are rich these days too, Russians aren’t, Poles are paranoid and Germans are legendary evil Krauts lusting to blitzkrieg again.

The U.S. Government has yet to resolve to fully stop supporting Ukraine. Ukraine was generally always a part of Russia from the time of Catherine the Great- no one has a better claim on the much contested over history borderland, and the U.S.A. is rather dense to be involved in that historical quagmire. Russia may produce it’s own Suvarov to thwart aristocratic, royalist, fascist or whatever else sort of forces one wants to call them fighting to wrest areas important to Russian security and prosperity away from Russia semi-permanently (until some future round). There are so many emerging threats to the survival of humanity on Earth from the over-the-horizon advances in technology that the war fought these days with drones, counter-drones and hypersonic missiles that the conventional aspect of it seems almost quaint through tragically stupid to prosecute when Ukrainian farmers and urban dwellers would find similar conditions of living when regardless of how the land is apportioned eventually.

Emerging technical weapons with nano-particles, AI and genetic engineering attacks would be slightly more manageable if the Ukraine war were settled amicably and soon. Political leaders working for the west probably have nothing besides greed and avarice in mind envisioning their business developments post war, and profit selling guns, weapons and harvesting body parts for transplants in the meantime. Old Europe probably needs lots of spare organs from healthy young soldiers lost to the predation of drones.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZhju-DYqY0 Mongol trading system

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